Monday, April 05, 2004
2) They named the operation to paciify the neighborhoods most active in the rioting "Vigilant Resolve." They are going into a poor neighborhood, imagine say Watts, with overwhelming force to quell the "rioters". This is not like in the states, say the Watts riots, where everyone will go home once they see the guns -- this is Iraq, an Iraq that is probably close to open revolt, and the image of tanks in their neighborhoods while calling their spiritual leader an outlaw is probably just upping the ante. The thing is, we don't have the troops needed to truly bring secruity there. If the Shiites get nasty, it could become a whole new war. There are 25 million people. Let's say 5 million get involved in the insurgency in some form (supporting guerrilas or whatever) we only have 130 thousand troops there. And I can't see it staying in the Sunni triangle long. It would spread quickly throughout Iraq. The question must be asked whose being vigilant and how can we resolve this thing without making it FUBAR?